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Bad News for the Outer Sunset District

July 29th, 2008

Filed under: Sunset District Real Estate,The Avenues Real Estate — admin @ 6:40 pm

As I was checking out the local San Francisco blogs, an unfortunate  blog post caught my eye.  Curbed SF happened to comment on an article from Forbes that listed the Outer Sunset District as the 6th most overpriced zip code in the country.  Not cool.

Outer Sunset residents – don’t fret.  If you bought your home five years ago, you should be fine.  But if you bought your home recently, you might be in trouble.  If you need some advice as to the value of your home, contact me.  Otherwise, here’s the bad news from Forbes.

 

…the country’s most overpriced areas are ZIP codes like San Francisco’s Outer Sunset neighborhood, 94122, which, given its location near the Pacific Ocean and on the south side of Golden Gate Park, was during the most recent boom widely thought to be up-and-coming. Median prices surged from $560,000 in June of 2003 to a peak of $771,000 in March of 2008, based on Trulia.com price data drawn from California’s multiple-listing service.

Sometimes, however, betting on price appreciation doesn’t quite work out, and when markets start to soften, speculative areas are often the first to take a hit.

San Francisco as a whole has declined 6% over the last year, but prices in the Outer Mission have declined 10%, dropping to $692,000. Based on asking prices and asking rents, though, the market still has a way to fall before reaching equilibrium.

Investors and homeowners in the other nine neighborhoods on our list are likely hoping for immunity from this trend.

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4 Comments »

  1. Hey. that’s great news! As a renter of a cottage on 47th and Kirkham, maybe someday I will get to buy. Houses here are still selling for a gross rent multiple of more than 20; if/when they get below 15, then buying might be a good value.

    Comment by marakima — July 31, 2008 @ 9:07 am

  2. [...] So.  The other day, I made mention of a Forbes article which points to over-inflated property values in the Outer Sunset district.  [...]

    Pingback by You Say Potato, I Say … | The Avenues Blog — July 31, 2008 @ 7:06 pm

  3. [...] So.  The other day, I made mention of a Forbes article on The Avenues Blog which points to over-inflated property values in the Outer Sunset district.  [...]

    Pingback by You Say Potato… I Say The Market is OK… | Luba's San Francisco Real Estate Blog — July 31, 2008 @ 7:09 pm

  4. Thanks for commenting Marakima – I don’t know that houses will ever get lower than 15 GRM in the City. The reality is that it’s a desirable place to live and there is a pool of buyers that can afford to live in the City. And as long as inventory remains relatively low and there are still buyers, then GRM will remain high. Of course, rents may increase – and that’d be the other way for GRM to drop.

    It’s an interesting statistic to look out for. Thanks for pointing it out!

    Comment by admin — July 31, 2008 @ 7:16 pm

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